Hezbollah

Beauty amid turbulent times

Israeli journalist Yair Cherki (photo from Facebook)

Bravo Yair Cherki, the popular, ultra-Orthodox TV news reporter. He recently came out as gay in a wonderful social media post. In part, he said: “I write these words shaking, postponing to tomorrow. For next week. For after the holidays. Maybe it’s been 10 years since I’ve been writing and erasing…. And I write not because I have the strength to write but because I have no power to stay silent. I love men. I love G-d. It is not contradictory….”

His confession continues, “I live the conflict between my secular preference and my faith all the time. Some have solved the conflict for themselves by saying that there is no G-d, while others explain that there is no homosexuality. I know both exist. And I try to reconcile this contradiction within myself in various ways. These are things between G-d and me…. This is neither a fashion nor a trend nor a political statement. It is simply me….”

An intimate and intelligent statement.

* * *

Now, if this doesn’t take “blaming the Jews” to new extremes. In my previous article in the JI (jewishindependent.ca/land-of-milk-honey) I praised the historic maritime natural gas agreement between Israel and Lebanon, enabling both countries to drill for natural gas within their own territory. I truly wished Lebanon much success in hitting a gusher and creating their own Sovereign Wealth Fund.

Hezbollah’s leader Hassan Nasrallah sees it a bit differently, warning that any delay in Lebanon’s extracting gas from its own waters will be met by a punishing attack on Israel’s adjacent gas fields. Maybe Robert Frost’s poem “Mending Wall” will assuage Nasrallah: “I let my neighbour know beyond the hill…. And set the wall between us once again…. To each the boulders that have fallen to each…. He only says, ‘Good fences make good neighbours.’”

Nasrallah went on to threaten that if the United States continues spreading chaos within Lebanon – some conspiracy theory or other – that Israel will pay. Reminiscent of the Three Stooges slapstick routine when Curly slaps Larry for Moe slapping him.

Peace and prosperity for all, on both sides of the Fatima Gate. Otherwise known as the Good Fence!

* * *

Going once. Going twice. Do I hear $50 million? According to its website, “Sotheby’s is proud to offer … the earliest, most complete Hebrew Bible during this year’s marquee New York sales auction.”

The Codex Sassoon is more than 1,000 years old. According to Sharon Mintz, Sotheby’s senior Judaica specialist, in an interview with CNN, “this is the most important document to come to auction ever.” It’s expected to generate huge interest across the world from the wealthiest of bidders, with offers expected to reach as high as $50 million.

Other treasured documents fetching such modest amounts at auction include the Codex Leicester by Leonardo da Vinci (ostensibly his science diary) sold to Bill Gates in 1994 for about $31 million. And the first printing of the U.S. Constitution, bought by American hedge fund manager Kenneth Griffin in 2021 for about $43 million.

May 16 … save the date. And your shekels!

* * *

A few weekends ago, my wife and I drove south for the day to enjoy the year’s winter festival, Darom Adom, when the bright red poppies – a protected flower in Israel – come out in full bloom along the Gaza periphery. It’s another reason to celebrate with local handicrafts, seasonal fruit, local cheeses and wine, homemade Israeli cuisine.

Taking place not too far from Sderot, within the opened gates of local kibbutzim and moshavim (agricultural communities) and less than a kilometre from another good fence delineating the border between Israel and Gaza, the festival a testament to Israeli’s resilience – and longing for a peaceful coexistence.

Somewhat poetically, we purchased a beautifully handcrafted hamsa made by a young, local artist. This hand-shaped amulet is used for protection by both Jews and Muslims. In the Jewish faith, the five fingers of the hamsa represent the Five Books of Moses, or the Torah. The Muslim faith sees a hamsa as representing the Five Pillars of Islam (declaration of faith, prayer, alms, fasting, pilgrimage). In popular culture, the charm represents the five senses (sight, sound, smell, touch, taste).

* * *

Judicial reform. Judicial reform. Judicial reform. Sounds like Jan Brady whining about her sister getting all the attention, “Marcia. Marcia. Marcia,” from the 1970s sitcom The Brady Bunch. Judicial reform certainly has been getting all the attention lately.

Issues aside, we’ve had 10 weeks and counting of protests, with several hundred thousand Israelis protesting around the country every Saturday night against judicial reform. The protests are also aimed at the extreme, right-wing – even theocratic – makeup of the current coalition that is driving headstrong into judicial reform. And yet, the primarily secular, centre-left who comprise these thousands, waving Israeli flags and ending every protest with the singing of Hatikvah, respectfully wait until after Shabbat to begin their protests. How’s that for deep-bred regard for this Jewish tradition that crosses sociopolitical lines?

* * *

Bravo again to Yair Cherki. To come out in these turbulent, sociopolitical times for the Israeli LGBTQ+ community. With our far-right, xenophobic, theocratic and anti-LGBTQ+ government, Cherki’s post and testament to himself is nothing short of brave, beautiful and brilliant.

Bruce Brown is a Canadian and an Israeli. He made aliyah … a long time ago. He works in Israel’s high-tech sector by day and, in spurts, is a somewhat inspired writer by night. Brown is the winner of the 2019 AJPA Rockower Award for excellence in writing, and wrote the 1998 satire An Israeli is…. Brown reflects on life in Israel – political, social, economic and personal.

החיזבאללה פועל בקנדה

(LinkedIn) עלי קוראני

ארגון הטרור השיעי החיזבאללה שקשור באיראן אסף מידע ביטחוני רגיש על שדה התעופה הבינלאומי “פירסון” שבטורונטו. כך מסרה רשות הביטחון בתחבורה האווירית של קנדה לפני מספר ימים. מתברר שסוכן רדום של החיזבאללה שגר בארצות הברית, עלי קוראני, ביקר לפחות שבע פעמים “בפירסון” – שדה התעופה הגדול שך בקנדה (מדי שנה עוברים בו לא פחות מכחמישים מיליון נוסעים).

קוראני שהוא אזרח אמריקני ונשוי לאזרחית לבנונית-קנדית, אסף מידע מודיעיני נרחב על אמצעי הבטחה בשדה התעופה הבינלאומי. המידע שהועבר למפעילו של קוראני בלבנון כלל בין היתר את הנושאים הבאים: מיקום מצלמות האבטחה, מיקום גלאי המתכות, מהם נוהלי הביטחון בשדה, מה לובשים אנשי האבטחה במשמרות שלהם ומי מהם נושא עימו נשק.

קוראני התגייס לחיזבאללה לאחר שהבית של משפחתו נהרס במלחמת לבנון השנייה, שהתקיימה בין ישראל לחיזבאללה (בקייץ של אלפיים ושש). על קוראני הוטל עליו להעביר נשק מקנדה לארה”ב ולבצע שם פעולות טרור. זאת תוך התמקדות בעיקר באנשי עסקים יהודים שגרים בניו יורק, נספחי צה”ל שעובדים בעיר ואף הקונסוליה הישראלית בניו יורק. הטרוריסט שנמצא במעצר בארה”ב מזה כשנתיים הורשע כבר בדין. הוא צפוי לקבל מאסר עולם וגזר דינו יתפרסם במהלך ספטמבר הקרוב. עורכי דינו של הנאשם הזדרזו והודיעו כבר כי יערערו על עונשו הכבד.

קוראני סיפר לחוקריו באף. בי.איי כי קבוצת הפעולה החיצונית של החיזבאללה (המכונה יחידת תשעה מאות ועשר) פעילה בקנדה, אף יותר מאשר ארה”ב. הוא מסר לחוקרים שמות של חמישה עשר איש מרשימת ההתקשרות הפרטית שלו, שחלקם הגדול גר דווקא בקנדה.

קנדה מתברר עוד משמשת מרכז חשוב להלבנת כספים של החיזבאללה שמקורם ממכירת סמים. הלבנת הכספים מתרחשת במספר ערים ובעיקר בוונקובר. ערים נוספות ברשימה הלא מכובדת הזו: טורונטו, מונטריאול, קלגרי והליפקס. הסמים מועברים לקנדה דרך מספר דינות באמריקה הלטינית ובעיקרן קולומביה ומקסיקו. זאת על ידי הפעילים של ארגון הטרור הלבנוני. הכספים ממכירת הסמים מולבנים ומשמשים למימון פעולות הטרור של הארגון, במקומות שונים בעולם.

הפעילות של איראן וארגוני הטרור המסונפים לה התרחבה בשנים האחרונות למדינות אמריקה הליטינית, בשל הסנקציות האמריקניות הקשות שהוטלו עליה. נשיא ארה”ב, דונלד טראמפ, הטיל רק לאחרונה עוד סנקציות כלכליות על איראן. טראמפ מאמין שבדרך הלחץ הוא ישיג משהו אך בדרך כלל התוצאות הפוכות. במדינות אירופה ומומחים בתחום הביטחוני בארה”ב, קנדה וישראל, מאמינים בניגוד לטראמפ כי הסכם הגרעין עם איראן, היה טוב לכל הצדדים. אל טראמפ הצטרף עד כה רק מנהיג אחד שתמך בביטול ההסכם עם איראן והוא: ראש ממשלת ישראל בנימין נתניהו.

בשנים האחרונות החלה המשטרה הפדרלית הקנדית (האר.סי.אם.פי) לחקור לעומק את נושא הלבנת הכספים מצד החיזבאללה. פעילים של ארגון הטרור הלבנוני מלבינים כספים בהיקפים גדולים מאוד, בעזרת מספר ארגוני פשע וקרטלי סמים מקומיים ובינלאומיים.

לפי החקירות המסובכות של האמריקנים בשיתוף בין היתר של הרשויות בקולומביה, עולה כי החיזבאללה פועל במשותף עם ארגוני פשע בינלאומיים ברחבי העולם. בין היתר במדינות כמו סין וההונג קונג, בשיתוף עם שכירי חרב, סוחרי סמים וקרטלי סמים גדולים (בהם קרטל מדיין של פאבלו אסקובר שחוסל לפני כעשרים ושש שנים). מהאזנות לשיחות טלפון רבות של פעילי החיזבאללה מתברר, שהארגון מפעיל את קשריו לפעילויותיו הפליליות השונות, ברחבי העולם. ובעיקר במדינות הבאות: ארה”ב, קנדה, אוסטרליה, פנמה, ירדן, דובאי וכמובן גם לבנון.

מרכז להלבנת כספים

(גלובל טי.וי)

קנדה משמשת מרכז להלבנת כספים של ארגון הטרור הלבנוני החיזבאללה שמקורם ממכירת סמים (בעיקר קוקאין). הסמים מועברים לקנדה מהמדינות הלטיניות ובהן קולומביה ומקסיקו, על ידי פעילים של החיזבאללה. הכספים ממכירת הסמים מולבנים ומשמשים למימון פעולות הטרור של הארגון. כך עולה מתחקיר נרחב של רשת החדשות גלובל טי.וי המקומית. ממשלת הקנדה החליטה לפני כשבועיים, במסגרת תקציב המדינה החדש לשנה זו, על הקמת כוח מיוחד למלחמה בהלבנות הכספים שהיקפם הולך וגדל. הלבנת הכספים קשורה בין היתר בעליית מחירי הנדל”ן בוונקובר וטורונטו, ולחילופין במשבר האופיואיד. יצוין כי ממשלת בריטיש קולומביה פועלת בחודשים האחרונים למגר את תופעת הלבנות הכספים במחוז, בין היתר באמצעות בתי קזינו ובנקים מחתרתיים. קרוב לוודאי שיש קשר בין גורמים סינים שמזה שנים מלבינים כסף בקנדה ובעיקר במחוז בריטיש קולומביה, לבין ארגון הטרור של החיזבאללה.

רשויות החוק בארצות הברית העבירו מידע רב למשטרה הפדרלית הקנדית (האר.סי.אם.פי) לפני כעשר שנים בדבר ארגון החיזבאללה, שמלבין כספים בקנדה. לפי התחקיר מתברר שאז במשטרה הפדרלית בחרו משום מה שלא לפעול. הועלו טענות בין היתר שהמשטרה הפדרלית הקנדית לא מעוניינת כלל, להתעסק בהלבנות כספים והברחות של סמים. רק בארבע השנים האחרונות החלה המשטרה הקנדית סוף סוף לחקור את הנושא לעומק. עוד נודע כי פעילים של ארגון הטרור הלבנוני מלבינים כספים בהיקפים גדולים מאוד, בעזרת מספר ארגוני פשע מקומיים. הפעילות מתבצעת בעיקר בחמש הערים הבאות בקנדה: טורונטו, מונטריאול, ונקובר, קלגרי והליפקס. גורם אמריקני מציין בהקשר זה כי מהחקירות השונות מתברר בצורה חד משמעית, כי ארגון הטרור הלבנוני מעורב במימון כספים מקנדה לפעילויות טרור, על ידי העברת כספים לקרטלי הסמים השונים. לדבריו בניגוד לקנדה רשויות החוק והאכיפה באוסטרליה פעלו נמרצות למגר את פעילות ארגון הטרור להלבנת כספים במדינה, והם זכו להצלחות לא מבוטלות בנושא. מהחקירות עלה כי כספים רבים לרכישת סמים עברו בין אוסטרליה לקנדה. אותו גורם אומר כי לפעילי החיזבאללה יש יכולות מעולות להלבין מיליארדי דולרים במדינות השונות.

חקירות דומות בנוגע להבנת כספים של ארגון החיזבאללה ממכירת סמים, מתקיימות במדינות נוספות שמשתייכות “לברית חמש העיניים” בנוסף כאמור לארה”ב וקנדה. מדובר בריטניה, אוסטרליה וכן ניו זילנד.

הפעילות של איראן וארגוני הטרור המסונפים לה התרחבה בשנים האחרונות משמעותית אל מדינות אמריקה הליטינית השונות. זאת בשל הסנקציות האמריקניות הקשות שהוטלו עליה והגבילו את יכולתה לגייס כסף, מימון לטרור וכלי נשק. מבחינת ארגון החיזבאללה לפעילות של מכירת הסמים למדינות המערב יש חשיבות עליונה ביותר. בכך הארגון גורם להחלשתו של האויב המערבי בשל ההתמכרות לסמים, וכן לאור העלויות הכספיות הגבוהות למלחמה במאבק בסחר ובהתמכרויות.

המשטרה הפדרלית הקנדית סירבה להגיב בפרשה ולפרט על חקירותיה בנושא החיזבאללה. באר.סי.אם.פי רק הסכימו לציין כי הם עובדים במשותף עם משטרות ברחבי העולם בנוגע לחקירות פליליות בינלאומיות.

Bleak future for Israel

Raphael Hoult, winner of the inaugural Barry Rubin Prize Essay Competition. (photo from Raphael Hoult)

“A Game of Clocks: An Analysis of the Situation in the Middle East and Its Effects on Israel” by Winnipeg’s Raphael Hoult is the winner of the Centre for Israel and Jewish Affairs’ inaugural Barry Rubin Prize Essay Competition.

Hoult, a physics major at the University of Winnipeg in his second year of studies, conjured up a mind-bending theory about the stability of Middle East security and consulted expert sources for his essay.

In physics, Hoult’s interests lie in the field of quantum gravitation, which attempts to combine two major theories – those of general relativity and quantum mechanics.

“These two theories don’t play well together,” said Hoult. “They conflict in places. The biggest place they conflict is in that every force in the universe has been quantized, meaning that we’ve found a very small, discrete package of it in the universe. For example, electromagnetism is delivered by something called a photon. The other forces have something that delivers them, as well. But, with gravity, we’ve found no such thing yet. What we say is we haven’t been able to quantify it, though there are a lot of theories out there for how to solve that problem. There’s string theory. Another is loop quantum gravity, that attempts to bring some parts together.

“I want to help look for a theory of quantum gravity, so we can finally resolve this dilemma … combine the two theories into one bigger theory, a more complete theory. And, hopefully, that will give us a lot more insight into the way gravity works and allow us to do more with our understanding of gravity – to utilize it more, similar to the way our deeper understanding of electricity and magnetism has allowed us to do more intricate electronics in the past couple years.”

According to Hoult, this reconciliation of quantum mechanics and general relativity has been the Holy Grail of physics for the past 50-some years, and solving it will be huge for physicists and the world as we know it.

“The proposed theoretical messenger particle for gravity is the graviton, which is something we’ve not yet observed at all,” he said. “Quantum mechanics requires there to be a graviton…. General relativity in no way makes reference to a graviton.

“The main thing is quantum mechanics works really well with very small things, general relativity works really well for really big things. Things with a lot of mass are usually very large. The problem comes when you have things that are very massive and also very small, such as neutron stars or black holes. These are very dense, have a lot of mass and exert a lot of gravitational force, but they are also very small. In the case of a black hole, they are actually on the atomic level. So, quantum mechanics is very important to the way they work, but general relativity also is in play. When our two theories don’t work and they are supposed to be working at the same time, that’s a problem and something we want to fix.”

In addition to his knowledge of physics, Hoult is also well-versed in Israeli politics. “I’ve actually never taken a political science course at university,” he acknowledged, “but I went to Gray Academy [of Jewish Education in Winnipeg], so I had a very strong basis in knowledge about Israel. I had a good grounding there. I also read the Times of Israel and Haaretz every day.”

When Hoult saw an advertisement for the Barry Rubin Essay Competition on Facebook, it piqued his interest. The contest topic was, “What does the current regional turmoil in the Middle East mean for Israel?”

In his essay, Hoult said, “The three main critical points I talked about were the constancy of Hezbollah, Hamas and Daesh (the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria [ISIS]). I wrote about the fact that Hezbollah is involved in the war in Syria, specifically as affiliates of Bashar Al-Assad. They support him and are fighting on behalf of him. On the flipside, a branch of ISIS, called Al-Wilayat Sinai, is operating in the Sinai Peninsula desert against the Egyptians, making their lives very difficult. They’ve also struck up an alliance with Hamas.”

According to Hoult, the main three players in regards to Israel involve Hezbollah in the north, Hamas in Gaza and Al-Wilayat Sinai (Daesh) in the south. Hoult does not delve into the Iranian threat in his essay, apart from Iran’s role in supporting these groups.

“My hypothesis was that these three forces are connected to one another,” he said. “And, because of the ongoing campaign against ISIS, my hypothesis is that, as soon as that campaign succeeds and breaks down ISIS, all hell will break loose for Israel.”

Hoult explained that this theory takes into account Hezbollah’s huge military arsenal, which is estimated at around 100,000 rockets, and their ability to hit every point in Israel from Metula to Eilat, combined with the southern threat from Hamas and from the Al-Wilayat Sinai, which, so far, has been mainly fighting the Egyptians.

“Once ISIS collapses in the north, the Al-Wilayat Sinai … will suddenly be like a tentacle that has been cut off from the squid,” he said. “It will have no control and will be in desperate throes to stay alive, making it likely that it will involve at least a couple cross-border raids. If those involve any Israeli deaths, it will force Israel to respond, which is an issue, due to the fact that Israel can’t cross the border without Egyptian permission.

“There is also the fact that Hamas is having another military build-up,” he added.

Hoult predicts this will likely lead to another war in 2017 and, once that war is over, he said Hezbollah would have had ample time to gather its troops and possibly attack Israel from the north. “This is not a good thing for Israel, as Hezbollah is dead set on destroying Israel if they can,” he said.

As to why Hoult thinks his essay was selected as the winner, he said he is not sure, although he imagines it may have “had something to do with all the sources cited, creating a compelling likelihood of my hypotheses coming true.”

One of his many concerns is that “the primary backer of Hezbollah and Hamas is Iran. Iran has just had billions of dollars unlocked, due to the nuclear deal … which I’m not going to condemn or support, though I’m a little bit skeptical of whether or not unlocking those funds was a good thing.”

Rebeca Kuropatwa is a Winnipeg freelance writer.

Perseverance, hope, faith

I was barely 18 when I found myself sitting in the airport in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, petrified that despite my false Turkish papers, I would be discovered, and returned to Iran to face execution. My forged Turkish passport had brought me to the airport in Saudi, but I spoke not a word of Turkish. I sat in the huge terminal in Riyadh, hungry, thirsty and terrified.

I had finally boarded the Montreal-bound Air Italia flight after three abortive efforts but fate had me in its thrall. One of the airhostesses was Turkish: I was terrified that she would realize that the thin girl masquerading as Turkish could speak not a word of her language, and then inform the captain of the ruse.

At age 13, my passion for social justice led me to defend a Baha’i schoolmate from a bully with Hezbollah connections. While I was surprised that my defence of a friend resulted in my suspension from school, I never dreamed that a spontaneous, spirited comment would lead to my flight.

I am a proud Shirazi woman, and my family can trace our roots back 2,500 years, back to the Babylonian exile. But in the late 1970s, when I was only 13, I joined university students as they protested for freedom: I desperately wanted to read books banned by the shah. I craved freedom as a bird craves flight, but after over a year hiding from Hezbollah, my mother made me realize that to find a life for myself, I first had to court death.

During my time in the desert, I experienced events that made me believe strongly in my faith. My flight was provoked by my defence of a Baha’i friend but it was a Muslim woman who informed my mother that I was blacklisted and a Pakistani border guard who saved me from the smugglers who were swindling me, and ensured that I did not die in the desert.

I had been told that the desert crossing would consist of a short walk and a five-hour journey by car. It turned out to be a forced march of 20 hours across the Kavir-e-Loot desert, and hours of terror as a dozen or more Afghani extremists passed inches away, on the other side of a small sand dune on their journey to join Hezbollah in Iran. They cried out, “Allahu akhbar!” God is great! I was 17, heartbroken at leaving my mother and home. I hope to never again experience the depth of despair that I knew that night as I lay, pressed into the sand beside the smugglers.

But if my desire for freedom and justice had led me into the desert, it was the contrast between the depth of my despair and the sight of the stars so far away that inspired me to this very day. I knew that my distant ancestors had crossed another desert under those same stars and I felt that if I fell down, I would just have to get back up. That philosophy helped me persevere through uneasy days in Pakistan, that terrible flight to Riyadh and further, into my life in Montreal.

I had to leave Iran because I wanted the taste of freedom on my lips, because a life lived in fear is not a life at all, and because only freedom allows the human being to carve out a life of meaning. I knew then and know now that my message of hope, faith and perseverance is important and compelling.

We are all sisters and brothers under our skin. Whether we cover our heads or whether our hair is loose, we are all God’s children and fate’s playthings.

Dr. Sima Goel is the author of Fleeing the Hijab: A Jewish Woman’s Escape from Iran.

Clues to the end game

On Jan. 28, Israeli soldiers in the northern Mount Dov region are pictured after an Israel Defence Forces patrol came under anti-tank fire from Hezbollah terrorist operatives. The Hezbollah attack killed two Israeli soldiers and injured seven others. (photo by Basal Awidat/Flash90)

Who was behind the Jan. 28 attack on northern Israel that killed two Israeli soldiers and wounded seven others? The easy answer is the Lebanon-based terrorist group Hezbollah, which claimed responsibility for the attack. But the wider view suggests Hezbollah’s state sponsor: Iran.

Dr. Ely Karmon, a senior research scholar at Israel’s International Institute for Counterterrorism, said that Hezbollah’s actions represent “an attempt to change the strategic rules of the game.” According to Karmon, Iran and Hezbollah have been working for months to take advantage of instability in Syria in order to create a forward military position against

Israel in Syria’s Quneitra region, close to the triple Syria-Lebanon-Israel border.

“This is actually an Iranian project,” Karmon told this reporter. “They have around 1,500 people on the ground in Syria, most of whom are counseling or training Syrian militias, and they have Hezbollah providing military support.”

On Jan. 28, Hezbollah fired five Kornet guided anti-tank missiles at an Israeli military convoy approximately 2.5 miles inside Israel’s border with Lebanon. A day earlier, less sophisticated mortars were fired from southern Syria into Israeli territory, with no damage reported.

In response to the Jan. 28 attack, Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu said, “Whoever is behind today’s attack will pay the full price.” Netanyahu – like Karmon – stressed that the attack points back to Iran, adding, “with the assistance of Hezbollah, Iran has been for some time trying to open another front against Israel on the Golan Heights. We are acting with force and determination against these attempts.”

“Because of the weakness of the Syrian regime, the Iranians are now permitted to have a foothold directly on Israel’s border, which until now they didn’t have,” Karmon explained.

Israel is widely believed to be responsible for a Jan. 18 airstrike against that foothold in southern Syria, which killed six Hezbollah operatives and six Iranians, including notorious Hezbollah commander Jihad Mughniyeh and Iranian general Mohammad Ali Allahdadi.

Karmon believes the airstrike “was a message sent by Israel” to forewarn Iran and Hezbollah not to continue their military efforts in Syrian territory.

The retaliatory attacks by Hezbollah following the deadly airstrike were widely expected. That the more sophisticated Kornet anti-tank missiles were fired from Lebanon and not Syria provides a strong indication that the Syrian position is not as well-stocked with weaponry as southern Lebanon – a zone that was supposed to remain completely demilitarized under United Nations Security Council Resolution 1701, which arranged for the cessation of hostilities following the Second Lebanon War of 2006.

“Resolution 1701 calls for complete disarmament in southern Lebanon and, yet, Hezbollah, instead of disarming, they have amassed some 80,000-90,000 missiles,” Karmon said.

“Now, they want to achieve the same equation in southern Syria. If Israel does not stop them, and there are two to three years with relative quiet, with only occasional penetrations of our border and sometimes mortar fire and so on, a kind of ‘war of attrition,’ then all of a sudden we will find ourselves staring at 5,000-10,000 missiles,” he said.